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Recently, some research and development institutions, local departments and power enterprises have started the post-term tasks of the “14th Five-Year Plan” for the “14th Five-Year Plan”. In the future, my country will continue to promote green color development and clean transformation, renewable power will continue to grow, and high-carbon fossil power will be greatly reduced. How to solve the unprecedented confusion of coal and electricity in the old day, find new positioning in modern dynamic systems, ensure the efficient application of coal and electricity cleaning and high-quality preservation and development is still one of the focus topics that cannot be opened.
my country’s tight, main, complex, and explosive coal and electricity relationship
Under the large-scale transformation of power cleaning, after more than 10 years of hard work, our country’s dynamic structure has been continuously improved, and the clean renewable power has developed rapidly, and the results of the reduction and reduction are significant. However, to this day, the power format of “coal is based on the foundation, electricity is the middle, coal and electricity are more than half, and oil is imported” has not yet been shaken from the most basic level, and coal and coal electricity are still the main power. In 2018, my country’s coal industry held the position of “three world firsts and one world third”. my country’s power installation machines have reached 1.9 billion kilowatts, of which: coal-electricity installation machines are 1.01 billion kilowatts, accounting for 53%; coal-electricity installations are 44,500 million kilowatts, accounting for 64%; fuel costs account for 70% of coal-electricity production costs.
The two industries of coal and electricity are related to high and low traffic, and are dependent on each other and have a great relationship. Coal is the “source of life” of pyroelectric enterprises. Whether coal can be guaranteed and the decline in coal prices directly determines the preservation, development and profitability of pyroelectric enterprises. The proportion of my country’s electricity coal consumption is generally half, accounting for 2.1 billion tonnes in 2018, accounting for 53%; nearly 50% of the railway’s transportation is used for coal transportation, reaching 2.381 billion tonnes in 2018. Similarly, pyroelectric is the largest user and market for coal enterprises, and the ownership and profit of pyroelectric also affects the conversion ability of coal resources.
CoalEscort manila and electricity industry are related to “lip dependence, coordinate development, mutual benefit and common interests”, but in fact, due to the governance system and operation mechanism of coal enterprises and electricity enterprises babyDifferences and the traditional separation of the two industries are often “combined and restrained, conflicted with each other”, and exploding coal and electricity conflicts. This is not only the result of a long-term game between the authorities, coal companies, electric companies, railways and users, but also a serious collision between the authorities’ planning system and the market operation mechanism.Intrinsic reaction. Therefore, in recent years, coal and electricity enterprises have paid close attention to the reasons for the impact of coal market changes, power market transformation, power enterprise reorganization, and power cleaning transformation.
Multiple reasons for the addition of coal and electricity in my country has not been denied. my country’s coal-electricity cleaning development has achieved positive results, with large-scale purifier emissions falling rapidly, power generation efficiency has continued to improve, carbon emissions have been decreasing, water consumption and wastewater emissions have decreased year by year, and the degree of comprehensive application of solid waste has been significantly reduced. Coal-electricity power generation technology and purifier control technology have reached the world’s advanced level. However, today the coal-electricity industry is facing a variety of confusion, which is in the “second difficult period”. The important manifestation is: First, the coal-electricity situation is unclear and social disputes are very large. For many years, there have been constant debates in society whether to use coal and electricity in the future dynamic structure, and there has been no consensus on whether coal and electricity will play in the future. There is no direction in the remote scene of coal and electricity. A faction represented by climate experts and new dynamic enterprises believes that in the clean environment of coal, the transformation of power cleaning is like moving a new home. If you don’t throw away these “old sand” of coal and electricity, you will not be able to buy this “new sand” of regenerative power. Because there is no space, our country’s “three bankruptcies” are formed by the scale of coal and electricity. Another faction represented by coal and coal-electricity enterprises believes that it cannot “demonize” coal and coal-electricity. Our country is a coal-rich country. The two industries of coal and coal-electricity are interdependent and affect each other. “The lips are cold” and are related to national actors. Renewable power is unstable and economically poor. At the critical moment, we still have to rely on coal and coal electricity. Coal is developing cleaning application technology and coal electricity is vigorously implementing ultra-low emission reforms. We should still rely on coal and develop coal electricity.
The second is that the power capacity is over, and the coal power price has plummeted due to market competition and new forces. Today, my country’s power capacity is over, and the risk of power generation industry systems has increased. The application hours of fire power have been declining from 5991 hours in 2004, and fell to 4165 hours in 2016. In 2017 and 2018, the company has been stable (4209 and 4361 hours), but the equipment application rate has dropped to 50%, and a large number of machines are in a shutdown. During the same period, the green development process has accelerated significantly, with wind, light, water, nuclear, gas and biological quality combined, especially the “crazy” of wind, photovoltaics has set off a “angry tide” of installation, and the proportion of cleaning machines has increased significantly. Moreover, in recent years, new dynamics have declined and are on the Internet, and market competition has increased significantly, and coal and electricity have to make the priority of cleaning power consumption. Other, with 20The promotion of new electricity reform in 2015 and the rapid expansion of electricity development plans will enter the era of comprehensive price competition. Coal and electricity has been the first to be in its profits, and the “price reduction wave” has swept across the country. Coal and electric enterprises in some regions are “can’t leave or survive” and are deeply in preservation crisis.
The third is the production capacity of coal, the coal price is in the factory, and the fuel cost of coal and electricity enterprises is high. In 2016, the macro economy began to stabilize, and coal demand stopped falling and rose, increasing by 0.5%, because of the local limitations and production capacity, the surrounding raw coal was noisy and controversial. Production was only 33.6 billion yuan, down 9.4%, causing market supply to fall short and coal prices to rise sharply. In 2017 and 2018, despite the increase in Sugar baby’s production, the demand for coal has decreased, and coal prices have fluctuated at high levels, showing a “factory”-shaped trend. By the end of 2018, the task of coal with a capacity of 1 billion yuan has been completed, showing the characteristics of “small coal mines, high single production, concentrated regional areas, and difficult emergency supply”. The CECI Coastal Coal Coal Purchase 5500 Eight Card Comprehensive Price in 2017 and 2018 were 650-700 yuan/t and 571-635 yuan/t, both exceeding the green area stipulated by the state. In the 13th Five-Year Plan, the tight equilibrium of the coal market, the renewed high coal prices and the difficulty of cross-regional regulation, the direct impact on the electricity generation industry is the increase in coal power generation and fuel costs, which has led to the two major ignitions of coal and electricity industry business operations.
Fourth, reduce energy consumption costs and reduce coal and electricity prices, and the market and market “double-controlled down”. In order to achieve the competitiveness of the enterprise and stabilize economic growth, in 2015, the country launched a supply side structural transformation to reduce energy consumption costs. On the one hand, the authorities kept down the coal-electricity standard price, and canceled preferential electricity prices and special electricity prices lower than the standard price in various places; on the other hand, by accelerating the release of electricity plans, greatly improving the market purchase and selling electricity, constantly innovating the products, and reducing the coal-electricity market purchase and selling electricity prices. With the dual management of coal and electricity prices, the market has dropped again and again, and has almost reached the “reduction cannot be reduced” fields, which has seriously endangered the preservation and supply of coal and electricity.
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